Tennis · W50 Nanao · 23/09, 03:00

Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Hiromi Abe

Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Hiromi Abe

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Haruna Arakawa Hiromi Abe
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLWL
Hiromi Abe 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1506 · Hiromi Abe 1588
Haruna ArakawaHiromi Abe
Our model38%62%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiromi Abe (rating 1506 vs 1588).

Statistics

Haruna ArakawaHiromi Abe
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.6-1
Games (G-P)9.9-9.412.8-9.8
Aces0.10.6
Double faults1.42.2
1st serve %61.1%63.3%
Break %40.9%58.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haruna Arakawa

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W35 Kyoto
0-2 3-12 L
16/09 Hee Rae Im
W35 Kyoto
2-1 13-10 W
02/09 Riko Kikawada
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/08 Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
27/08 Luisa Schruff
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Ophelia Korpanec Davies
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
16/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
0-2 4-12 L
15/08 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Zeel Desai
W15 Astana
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Nina Sozaonova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-5 W

Hiromi Abe

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Kyoto
2-1 16-15 W
19/09 Rinko Matsuda
W35 Kyoto
2-1 17-12 W
18/09 Sayaka Ishii
W35 Kyoto
2-1 16-13 W
17/09 Mio Mushika
W35 Kyoto
2-0 8-1 W
15/09 Chia Yi Tsao
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-4 W
10/09 Yujin Kim
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 10-13 L
08/09 Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Yeongwol
2-1 18-8 W
12/08 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Aldershot
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Angella Okutoyi
W35 Aldershot
2-0 12-3 W
07/08 Jodie Anna Burrage
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Hiromi Abe?

Our model gives 75% to Hiromi Abe, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.