Prediction: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Kayo Nishimura
Team pages: Natsumi Kawaguchi · Kayo Nishimura
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Kayo Nishimura
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Natsumi Kawaguchi
3-7 (W-L)
Kayo Nishimura
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natsumi Kawaguchi
1–1
Kayo Nishimura
(2 last)
- 15 Sept2-0 12-7W
- 21 Mar1-2 8-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1461 · Kayo Nishimura 1445
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | Kayo Nishimura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | Kayo Nishimura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.5 | 8.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 51.2% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1 – 1 Kayo Nishimura (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1–1 Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 W35 Kyoto | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/03/24 ITF W15 Hinode | 1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Funa Kozaki W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yu-Chen Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/09 | Eunhye Lee W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Dana Guzman W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lexington Reed W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Isabella Marton W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Teah Chavez W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Kayo Nishimura?
Our model gives 61% to Natsumi Kawaguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.