Prediction: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Rinko Matsuda
Team pages: Ikumi Yamazaki · Rinko Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Ikumi Yamazaki
Rinko Matsuda
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ikumi Yamazaki
2-8 (W-L)
Rinko Matsuda
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ikumi Yamazaki
1–0
Rinko Matsuda
(1 last)
- 23 May2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ikumi Yamazaki 1467 · Rinko Matsuda 1567
| Ikumi Yamazaki | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinko Matsuda (rating 1467 vs 1567).
- Rinko Matsuda is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ikumi Yamazaki 1–0 Rinko Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Ikumi Yamazaki | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.4 | 11.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Ikumi Yamazaki 1 – 0 Rinko Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ikumi Yamazaki 1–0 Rinko Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/24 W15 Fukui | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ikumi Yamazaki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lia Karatancheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/08 | Yujia Huang W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Martina Lo Pumo W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Rinko Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Ayumi Miyamoto W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Shiyu Ye W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ikumi Yamazaki vs Rinko Matsuda?
Our model gives 65% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.