Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi · Natsuki Yoshimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
4-6 (W-L)
Natsuki Yoshimoto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1432 · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1499
| Sakura Hosogi | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yoshimoto (rating 1432 vs 1499).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.6 | 10.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Anna Kubareva W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Rinko Matsuda W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Hikaru Sato W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 19/08 | Eunyeong Park W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Natsuki Yoshimoto?
Our model gives 54% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.