Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/09, 11:30
Prediction: Andrea De Marchi vs Sebastiano Cocola
Team pages: Andrea De Marchi · Sebastiano Cocola
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea De Marchi
Sebastiano Cocola
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastiano Cocola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea De Marchi 1544 · Sebastiano Cocola 1515
| Andrea De Marchi | Sebastiano Cocola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea De Marchi | Sebastiano Cocola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.3 | 10.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Marcello Serafini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
Sebastiano Cocola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Louis Wessels M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 21/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea De Marchi vs Sebastiano Cocola?
Our model gives 64% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.