Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/09, 11:30
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Garrett Johns
Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Garrett Johns
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Garrett Johns
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
4-6 (W-L)
Garrett Johns
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan McCormick
0–2
Garrett Johns
(2 last)
- 12 Feb1-2 15-17L
- 17 Dec0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1500 · Garrett Johns 1512
| Tristan McCormick | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tristan McCormick 0–2 Garrett Johns (2).
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.9 | 10.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Tristan McCormick 0 – 2 Garrett Johns (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan McCormick 0–2 Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/25 M15 Naples | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 17/12/20 UTR Pro Tennis Series Florida | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Marcello Serafini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Xavi Palomar M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 15/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Garrett Johns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Timo Legout Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Garrett Johns?
Our model gives 60% to Garrett Johns, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.