Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 11:30
Prediction: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Niccolo Catini
Team pages: Daniele Rapagnetta · Niccolo Catini
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Rapagnetta
Niccolo Catini
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Rapagnetta
6-4 (W-L)
Niccolo Catini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Rapagnetta 1552 · Niccolo Catini 1467
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Niccolo Catini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniele Rapagnetta (rating 1552 vs 1467).
Statistics
| Daniele Rapagnetta | Niccolo Catini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.5 | 10.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 33% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Pietro Marino M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Maximilian Figl M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexander Petrov M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Manuel Mazza M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxime Janvier M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Pierluigi Basile M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Niccolo Catini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iiro Vasa M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Rapagnetta vs Niccolo Catini?
Our model gives 74% to Daniele Rapagnetta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.