Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/09, 11:30
Prediction: Giannicola Misasi vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Giannicola Misasi · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Giannicola Misasi
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giannicola Misasi
5-5 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giannicola Misasi
0–1
Gianmarco Ferrari
(1 last)
- 12 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giannicola Misasi 1476 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1517
| Giannicola Misasi | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianmarco Ferrari (rating 1476 vs 1517).
- Head-to-head: Giannicola Misasi 0–1 Gianmarco Ferrari (1).
Statistics
| Giannicola Misasi | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.7 | 9.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Giannicola Misasi 0 – 1 Gianmarco Ferrari (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giannicola Misasi 0–1 Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/22 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giannicola Misasi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Federico Valle M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Matei Marius Partal M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Carles Rojas M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Cesare Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giannicola Misasi vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 65% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.