Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/09, 10:00
Prediction: Daniele Minighini vs Matteo Mesaglio
Team pages: Daniele Minighini · Matteo Mesaglio
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Minighini
Matteo Mesaglio
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Minighini
5-5 (W-L)
Matteo Mesaglio
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Minighini 1495 · Matteo Mesaglio 1498
| Daniele Minighini | Matteo Mesaglio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniele Minighini | Matteo Mesaglio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-9.1 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 71.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Minighini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Robert Guna M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Hugo Maurice M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Richard Antoni M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Mikolaj Borkowski M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Andrea Zanini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
Matteo Mesaglio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Davide Ciaschetti M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 07/09 | Patric Prinoth M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Davide Ciaschetti M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 25/06 | George Lazarov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sasa Markovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Alessio Babudri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Maxime Chazal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Minighini vs Matteo Mesaglio?
Our model gives 53% to Daniele Minighini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.