Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/09, 10:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Beraldo vs Alessandro Mondazzi

Team pages: Lorenzo Beraldo · Alessandro Mondazzi

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Lorenzo Beraldo Alessandro Mondazzi
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Beraldo 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLWL
Alessandro Mondazzi 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Beraldo 1442 · Alessandro Mondazzi 1435
Lorenzo BeraldoAlessandro Mondazzi
Our model51%49%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo BeraldoAlessandro Mondazzi
Win %30%20%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.50.4-1.7
Games (G-P)7.2-106.2-11.2
Aces0.41.2
Double faults2.72.7
1st serve %59.7%56.5%
Break %36.1%18.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Beraldo

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/09 Matic Dimic
M15 Budapest
1-2 9-10 L
02/09 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Pierluigi Basile
M25 Lesa
0-2 4-12 L
03/08 Nicola Rispoli
M25 Fano
0-2 11-14 L
28/07 Pietro Romeo Scomparin
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
27/07 Federico Bove
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
26/07 Laurens Harnoth Manrubia
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-1 8-8 W
22/07 Raffaele Ciurnelli
M15 Segrate
0-2 6-13 L
20/07 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Segrate
2-0 8-3 W

Alessandro Mondazzi

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/08 Gioele Cerelli
M25 Fano
1-2 9-11 L
14/07 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Slobozia
0-2 3-12 L
02/06 Mae Malige
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
01/06 Henri Haupt
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/04 Jamie Mackenzie
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
18/03 Francesco Forti
M15 Foggia · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/03 Felipe Virgili Berini
M15 Foggia · ~Clay
1-1 10-9 W
26/10 Gabriele Volpi
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
13/10 Dominik Recek
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/10 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Beraldo vs Alessandro Mondazzi?

Our model gives 61% to Lorenzo Beraldo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.