Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/09, 10:00
Prediction: Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Matteo Mura
Team pages: Filippo Francesco Garbero
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Francesco Garbero
Matteo Mura
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Francesco Garbero
6-4 (W-L)
Matteo Mura
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Francesco Garbero 1453 · Matteo Mura 1428
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Matteo Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Matteo Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.5 | 7.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Francesco Garbero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Alessandro Battiston M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Arad |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Stefan-Cristian Enache M15 Arad |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Mustapha El Natour M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Riccardo Di Vita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Matteo Mura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Lucas Renard M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 04/05 | Matteo Vavassori M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/04 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Leonardo Malgaroli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 06/04 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Matteo Mura?
Our model gives 51% to Filippo Francesco Garbero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.