Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Mattias Pisanu
Team pages: Alessandro Bellifemine · Mattias Pisanu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandro Bellifemine
Mattias Pisanu
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Bellifemine
7-3 (W-L)
Mattias Pisanu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandro Bellifemine 1529 · Mattias Pisanu 1448
| Alessandro Bellifemine | Mattias Pisanu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alessandro Bellifemine (rating 1529 vs 1448).
- Alessandro Bellifemine is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alessandro Bellifemine | Mattias Pisanu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 6.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 53.1% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 32.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandro Bellifemine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Radovan Michalik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Parth Aggarwal M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Artur Kukasian M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Nemanja Sapic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mattias Pisanu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maj Premzl M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Alex Lapsansky M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandro Bellifemine vs Mattias Pisanu?
Our model gives 76% to Alessandro Bellifemine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.