Tennis · W50 Nanao · 21/09, 04:30

Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Yuka Hosoki

Team pages: Nagi Hanatani · Yuka Hosoki

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Nagi Hanatani Yuka Hosoki
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLWL
Yuka Hosoki 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1433 · Yuka Hosoki 1520
Nagi HanataniYuka Hosoki
Our model38%62%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuka Hosoki (rating 1433 vs 1520).
  • Yuka Hosoki is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (5.6/match).
  • Note: Yuka Hosoki makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Nagi HanataniYuka Hosoki
Win %30%60%
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.71.2-0.9
Games (G-P)9.4-12.89.5-8.6
Aces0.21
Double faults5.64.2
1st serve %56%58.5%
Break %41.7%37.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nagi Hanatani

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Kyoto
0-2 6-12 L
15/09 Anri Nagata
W35 Kyoto
2-1 11-7 W
08/09 Kisa Yoshioka
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 6-13 L
02/09 Soo Ha Jang
W15 Yeongwol
1-2 16-19 L
02/08 Leticia Solakov
W75 Leipzig
0-2 6-13 L
29/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Hechingen
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Carolin Raschdorf
W75 Hechingen
2-1 15-15 W
27/07 Maria Toma
W75 Hechingen
2-1 14-12 W
19/07 Sophia Bergqvist
W35 Gentofte
0-2 8-12 L
14/07 Clara Vlasselaer
W50 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L

Yuka Hosoki

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
11/08 Aishwarya Jadhav
W15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
06/08 Zeel Desai
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Darya Kharlanova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-3 W
03/08 Anastasiya Krymkova
W15 Astana
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Ingkar Dyussebay
W15 Astana
0-2 2-12 L
28/07 Zhanel Rustemova
W15 Astana
2-0 13-9 W
27/07 Aishwarya Jadhav
W15 Astana
2-0 13-5 W
25/06 Mayuka Aikawa
W15 Sapporo
0-2 5-12 L
24/06 Riko Kikawada
W15 Sapporo
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Yuka Hosoki?

Our model gives 51% to Yuka Hosoki.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.