Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yuna Sugiyama
Team pages: Tiana Tian Deng
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiana Tian Deng
Yuna Sugiyama
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tiana Tian Deng
6-4 (W-L)
Yuna Sugiyama
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1503 · Yuna Sugiyama 1451
| Tiana Tian Deng | Yuna Sugiyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiana Tian Deng (rating 1503 vs 1451).
- Note: Tiana Tian Deng makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Yuna Sugiyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.7 | 9.4-12 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 50% |
| Break % | 44% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Yuna Sugiyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Miyu Nishiwaki W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Koharu Niimi W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Ayaho Okude W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 22/04 | Hanna Chang W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/01 | Mua Shigeta UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/01 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/01 | Yua Morishita UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/01 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Yuna Sugiyama?
Our model gives 73% to Tiana Tian Deng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.