Tennis · W50 Nanao · 21/09, 07:30

Prediction: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Maiko Uchijima

Team pages: Ayumi Miyamoto · Maiko Uchijima

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Ayumi Miyamoto Maiko Uchijima
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ayumi Miyamoto 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLL
Maiko Uchijima 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ayumi Miyamoto 1550 · Maiko Uchijima 1489
Ayumi MiyamotoMaiko Uchijima
Our model59%41%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ayumi Miyamoto (rating 1550 vs 1489).

Statistics

Ayumi MiyamotoMaiko Uchijima
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81-1.2
Games (G-P)12.6-9.28.5-10
Aces0.80.1
Double faults1.42.1
1st serve %65%56.6%
Break %54.4%47.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ayumi Miyamoto

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Rinko Matsuda
W35 Kyoto
0-2 9-13 L
19/07 Kyoka Kubo
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/07 Junri Namigata
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
18/07 Yui Komada
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
28/06 Miho Kuramochi
W15 Sapporo
1-2 15-16 L
27/06 Gaeul Jang
W15 Sapporo
2-1 17-11 W
26/06 Mayuka Aikawa
W15 Sapporo
2-0 13-8 W
25/06 Kanon Sawashiro
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Azusa Ishii
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-3 W
21/06 Aishi Das
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-5 W

Maiko Uchijima

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Maria Kalyakina
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Ru Xi Wu
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Alisa Vasileva
W15 Tianjin
2-1 10-12 W
30/07 Laquisa Khan
W15 Brisbane
0-2 3-12 L
29/07 Eva Lopez
W15 Brisbane
2-1 16-14 W
28/07 Kimiko Cooper
W15 Brisbane
2-0 13-8 W
24/07 Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Brisbane
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Leilany Ipunesso
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-3 W
21/07 Kanako Osafune
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Ana Grubor
W35 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ayumi Miyamoto vs Maiko Uchijima?

Our model gives 69% to Ayumi Miyamoto, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.