Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 18/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ilary Pistola vs Oceane Babel
Team pages: Ilary Pistola · Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilary Pistola
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ilary Pistola
6-4 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilary Pistola 1506 · Oceane Babel 1558
| Ilary Pistola | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Babel (rating 1506 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Ilary Pistola | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.8 | 12.9-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilary Pistola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/09 | Kolie Allen W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Luna Vujovic W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Carla Giambelli W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Selena Janicijevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Ipek Oz W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Ludovica Mazzucchelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Oceane Babel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Rachel Gailis W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilary Pistola vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 60% to Oceane Babel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.