Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 18/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Matilde Paoletti
Team pages: Alisa Oktiabreva · Matilde Paoletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Alisa Oktiabreva
Matilde Paoletti
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alisa Oktiabreva
7-3 (W-L)
Matilde Paoletti
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alisa Oktiabreva 1561 · Matilde Paoletti 1574
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alisa Oktiabreva makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Alisa Oktiabreva | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.9 | 12.9-10 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alisa Oktiabreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Yue Yuan WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Francesca Curmi WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/04 | Ayana Akli WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/04 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Oeiras Qual · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/04 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 28/03 | Lea Ma WTA Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/03 | Eliska Tichackova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Matilde Paoletti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophie Greiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Milutinovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/08 | Despina Papamichail W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alisa Oktiabreva vs Matilde Paoletti?
Our model gives 59% to Alisa Oktiabreva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.