Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Marta Lombardini vs Valentina Steiner
Team pages: Marta Lombardini · Valentina Steiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Lombardini
Valentina Steiner
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Lombardini
8-2 (W-L)
Valentina Steiner
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marta Lombardini
0–1
Valentina Steiner
(1 last)
- 07 Apr0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Lombardini 1530 · Valentina Steiner 1582
| Marta Lombardini | Valentina Steiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Steiner (rating 1530 vs 1582).
- Head-to-head: Marta Lombardini 0–1 Valentina Steiner (1).
- Note: Valentina Steiner makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Marta Lombardini | Valentina Steiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.4 | 12.1-9.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 67.2% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Marta Lombardini 0 – 1 Valentina Steiner (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marta Lombardini 0–1 Valentina Steiner
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 W35 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Lombardini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Enola Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Angelica Raggi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Sveva Sveva Fumagalli W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Noemi Maines W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Sara Milanese W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Agnese Gentili W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Allegra Fiorani W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Valentina Steiner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Romane Longueville W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Jessica Pieri W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Federica Sacco W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Federica Trevisan W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Viola Turini W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Josy Daems W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Marie Vogt W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Lombardini vs Valentina Steiner?
Our model gives 55% to Valentina Steiner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.