Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 17/09, 09:30
Prediction: Matilde Paoletti vs Daria Yesypchuk
Team pages: Matilde Paoletti · Daria Yesypchuk
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Paoletti
Daria Yesypchuk
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Daria Yesypchuk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Paoletti 1572 · Daria Yesypchuk 1541
| Matilde Paoletti | Daria Yesypchuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matilde Paoletti | Daria Yesypchuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 63% |
| Break % | 62.1% | 63.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Sophie Greiner W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Gabriela Ce W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Milutinovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/08 | Despina Papamichail W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 10/08 | Kristina Novak W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Daria Yesypchuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Sara Milanese W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Merel Hoedt W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Margaux Maquet W50 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Lian Tran W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Annika Barth W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Madelief Hageman W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Jule Niemeier W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Paoletti vs Daria Yesypchuk?
Our model gives 66% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.