Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Ilary Pistola
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Ilary Pistola
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
7-3 (W-L)
Ilary Pistola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1566 · Ilary Pistola 1501
| Vittoria Paganetti | Ilary Pistola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vittoria Paganetti (rating 1566 vs 1501).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Ilary Pistola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.8 | 9.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 59.9% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Beatrice Stagno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ilary Pistola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Kolie Allen W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Luna Vujovic W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Carla Giambelli W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Selena Janicijevic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Ipek Oz W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Ludovica Mazzucchelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Ilary Pistola?
Our model gives 59% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.