Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alessandro Battiston vs Andrey Chepelev
Team pages: Alessandro Battiston · Andrey Chepelev
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandro Battiston
Andrey Chepelev
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Battiston
4-6 (W-L)
Andrey Chepelev
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandro Battiston 1490 · Andrey Chepelev 1515
| Alessandro Battiston | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Andrey Chepelev is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alessandro Battiston | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.6 | 11.3-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandro Battiston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriele Maria Piano M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Marko Retelj M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Andrey Chepelev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Parenti M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandro Battiston vs Andrey Chepelev?
Our model gives 70% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.