Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Andrea De Marchi vs Marcello Serafini
Team pages: Andrea De Marchi · Marcello Serafini
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea De Marchi
Marcello Serafini
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Marcello Serafini
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea De Marchi 1547 · Marcello Serafini 1563
| Andrea De Marchi | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea De Marchi | Marcello Serafini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.5 | 13.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea De Marchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Francesco Forti M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Marcello Serafini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Tristan McCormick M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Peter Buldorini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Wels |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea De Marchi vs Marcello Serafini?
Our model gives 53% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.