Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 16/09, 10:00

Prediction: Nicolas Parizzia vs Sebastiano Cocola

Team pages: Nicolas Parizzia · Sebastiano Cocola

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Nicolas Parizzia Sebastiano Cocola
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Parizzia 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLLL
Sebastiano Cocola 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nicolas Parizzia 1506 · Sebastiano Cocola 1523
Nicolas ParizziaSebastiano Cocola
Our model48%52%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nicolas ParizziaSebastiano Cocola
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.3-1
Games (G-P)11.4-10.311-9.6
Aces4.91
Double faults2.31.5
1st serve %71.8%63%
Break %29.1%43.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nicolas Parizzia

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/09 Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
09/09 Rafael Kis Balazs
M15 Budapest
0-2 9-13 L
30/08 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/08 Theo Papamalamis
Challenger Sion · Clay
1-2 18-15 L
13/08 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Muttenz
0-2 7-12 L
12/08 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Muttenz
2-0 12-6 W
10/08 Justin Lenders
M25 Muttenz
2-0 12-7 W
26/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M15 Segrate
0-2 7-12 L
25/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M15 Segrate
2-1 14-10 W
24/07 Adrian Andreev
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-5 W

Sebastiano Cocola

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Louis Wessels
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W
14/09 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
28/07 Lorenzo Comino
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
21/07 Alessandro Bellifemine
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L
17/07 Guglielmo Verdese
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Nikola Jovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-10 W
15/07 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Semen Pankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
07/07 Romain Azais
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nicolas Parizzia vs Sebastiano Cocola?

Our model gives 52% to Nicolas Parizzia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.