Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Beatrice Stagno
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Beatrice Stagno
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Beatrice Stagno
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
6-4 (W-L)
Beatrice Stagno
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1557 · Beatrice Stagno 1465
| Vittoria Paganetti | Beatrice Stagno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vittoria Paganetti (rating 1557 vs 1465).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.4/match).
- Note: Beatrice Stagno makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Beatrice Stagno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-7.7 | 9-10 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 56.5% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Beatrice Stagno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Sophia Biolay W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Vicky Van De Peer W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Hanna Vanni W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Federica Sacco W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Josephine Kunz W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Beatrice Stagno?
Our model gives 77% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.