Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Verena Meliss vs Francesca Gandolfi
Team pages: Verena Meliss · Francesca Gandolfi
Prediction summary
Winner
Verena Meliss
Francesca Gandolfi
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Verena Meliss
4-6 (W-L)
Francesca Gandolfi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verena Meliss 1433 · Francesca Gandolfi 1520
| Verena Meliss | Francesca Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Gandolfi (rating 1433 vs 1520).
- Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Verena Meliss | Francesca Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.7 | 11.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verena Meliss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Monique Barry W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Eleonora Alvisi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 20/07 | Monique Barry W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Lina Bezza W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Francesca Gandolfi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/09 | Federica Trevisan W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Gloria De Santis W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Caterina Odorizzi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Chloe Noel W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 02/08 | Amelie Brooks W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verena Meliss vs Francesca Gandolfi?
Our model gives 62% to Francesca Gandolfi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.