Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Julia Stusek vs Camilla Gennaro
Team pages: Julia Stusek · Camilla Gennaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Stusek
Camilla Gennaro
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Stusek
4-6 (W-L)
Camilla Gennaro
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Stusek 1473 · Camilla Gennaro 1497
| Julia Stusek | Camilla Gennaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julia Stusek makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Julia Stusek | Camilla Gennaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.8 | 9.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 60.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Stusek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Emma Lene W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Urszula Radwanska W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Ana Grubor W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Paula Cembranos W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Camilla Gennaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Paula Ormaechea W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Matilde Mariani W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 13/08 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Viola Turini W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/08 | Tamara Sramkova W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Beatrise Zeltina W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mariia Drobysheva W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Greta Petrillo W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Torino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Gergana Topalova W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Stusek vs Camilla Gennaro?
Our model gives 61% to Julia Stusek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.