Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Eric Vanshelboim vs Samuele Seghetti
Team pages: Eric Vanshelboim · Samuele Seghetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Eric Vanshelboim
Samuele Seghetti
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Eric Vanshelboim
7-3 (W-L)
Samuele Seghetti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eric Vanshelboim 1551 · Samuele Seghetti 1511
| Eric Vanshelboim | Samuele Seghetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1551 vs 1511).
Statistics
| Eric Vanshelboim | Samuele Seghetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.8 | 12.4-11 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eric Vanshelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Brian Bozemoj M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Marc Majdandzic M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Peter Buldorini Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Carles Cordoba M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Samuele Seghetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Flavio Bocci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Blu Baker M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eric Vanshelboim vs Samuele Seghetti?
Our model gives 66% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.