Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Carboni vs Matteo Sciahbasi
Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni · Matteo Sciahbasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni
Matteo Sciahbasi
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Carboni
5-5 (W-L)
Matteo Sciahbasi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Carboni 1473 · Matteo Sciahbasi 1579
| Lorenzo Carboni | Matteo Sciahbasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Sciahbasi (rating 1473 vs 1579).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Carboni | Matteo Sciahbasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-8.9 | 10.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Noah Karma M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Ulrich M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Matteo Sciahbasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Cosimo Banti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Tudor Batin M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Arad |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Jake Fellows M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Iulius Maximus Stoica M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Carboni vs Matteo Sciahbasi?
Our model gives 56% to Lorenzo Carboni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.