Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Kirill Kivattsev vs Andrea De Marchi
Team pages: Kirill Kivattsev · Andrea De Marchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kirill Kivattsev
Andrea De Marchi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kirill Kivattsev
8-2 (W-L)
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kirill Kivattsev
1–0
Andrea De Marchi
(1 last)
- 13 Nov2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kirill Kivattsev 1514 · Andrea De Marchi 1525
| Kirill Kivattsev | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kirill Kivattsev 1–0 Andrea De Marchi (1).
Statistics
| Kirill Kivattsev | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.7 | 9.2-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 60% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Kirill Kivattsev 1 – 0 Andrea De Marchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kirill Kivattsev 1–0 Andrea De Marchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/25 ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kirill Kivattsev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/08 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Ganchev M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Bengt Johan Reinhard M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Andrea De Marchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Francesco Forti M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kirill Kivattsev vs Andrea De Marchi?
Our model gives 55% to Kirill Kivattsev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.