Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Filippo Mazzola vs Alexander Weis
Team pages: Filippo Mazzola · Alexander Weis
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Mazzola
Alexander Weis
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Mazzola
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Weis
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filippo Mazzola
0–1
Alexander Weis
(1 last)
- 17 Sept0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Mazzola 1486 · Alexander Weis 1520
| Filippo Mazzola | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Filippo Mazzola 0–1 Alexander Weis (1).
Statistics
| Filippo Mazzola | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.3 | 10.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Filippo Mazzola 0 – 1 Alexander Weis (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filippo Mazzola 0–1 Alexander Weis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Filippo Moroni M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Edoardo Betti M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 16/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alexander Weis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Oscar Blardone M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Niccolo Catini M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Mazzola vs Alexander Weis?
Our model gives 69% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.