Tennis · M25 Sintra · 08/09, 12:30
Prediction: Rodrigo Leal vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Rodrigo Leal · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Leal
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Leal
6-4 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Leal 1512 · Fausto Tabacco 1540
| Rodrigo Leal | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Leal | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10 | 11.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 61% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 32.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Leal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Salvador Monteiro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Joao Mendes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Joao Portugal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Otso Martikainen M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Matteo Covato Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Leal vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 72% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.