Tennis · M25 Sintra · 17/09, 12:30
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Benjamin Pietri
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Benjamin Pietri
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Benjamin Pietri
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Pietri
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alec Deckers
0–1
Benjamin Pietri
(1 last)
- 23 Apr0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1508 · Benjamin Pietri 1524
| Alec Deckers | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 11.5 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alec Deckers 0–1 Benjamin Pietri (1).
- Note: Alec Deckers makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Benjamin Pietri makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-12.1 | 11.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 11.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Alec Deckers 0 – 1 Benjamin Pietri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alec Deckers 0–1 Benjamin Pietri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 M15 Heraklion | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Luca Potenza Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ali Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Benjamin Pietri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Peter Makk Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Benjamin Pietri?
Our model gives 57% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.