Tennis · M25 Sintra · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Tiago Torres
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Tiago Torres
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Tiago Torres
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
7-3 (W-L)
Tiago Torres
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1506 · Tiago Torres 1510
| Tiago Cacao | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tiago Torres makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.6 | 11.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Rodrigo Ferro Duarte Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Tiago Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Lucca Liu M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Tiago Torres?
Our model gives 63% to Tiago Torres, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.