Tennis · M25 Sintra · 17/09, 12:30
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Salvador Monteiro
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Salvador Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Salvador Monteiro
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
7-3 (W-L)
Salvador Monteiro
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Patrick Schoen
1–0
Salvador Monteiro
(1 last)
- 03 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1568 · Salvador Monteiro 1451
| Patrick Schoen | Salvador Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1568 vs 1451).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Patrick Schoen 1–0 Salvador Monteiro (1).
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Salvador Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.1 | 7.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Patrick Schoen 1 – 0 Salvador Monteiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patrick Schoen 1–0 Salvador Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/24 ITF M25 Setubal | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Salvador Monteiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Peter Sychev M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Artur Carvalho Rocha M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Rohan Mehra M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Laslo Djere Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/02 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/02 | James Beaven M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Salvador Monteiro?
Our model gives 81% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.