Tennis · M25 Sintra · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: Adria Soriano Barrera vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Adria Soriano Barrera · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Adria Soriano Barrera
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Adria Soriano Barrera
5-5 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adria Soriano Barrera
0–1
Fausto Tabacco
(1 last)
- 24 Jan1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adria Soriano Barrera 1467 · Fausto Tabacco 1559
| Adria Soriano Barrera | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1467 vs 1559).
- Fausto Tabacco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Adria Soriano Barrera 0–1 Fausto Tabacco (1).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Adria Soriano Barrera | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.3 | 12.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Adria Soriano Barrera 0 – 1 Fausto Tabacco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adria Soriano Barrera 0–1 Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/25 M15 Manacor | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adria Soriano Barrera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Antoine Escoffier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/06 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/03 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/03 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/03 | Henry Bernet Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/02 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Alen Mujakic M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Matteo Covato Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adria Soriano Barrera vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 59% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.