Tennis · M25 Sintra · 17/09, 11:00

Prediction: Finn Murgett vs Robin Bertrand

Team pages: Finn Murgett · Robin Bertrand

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Finn Murgett Robin Bertrand
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Murgett 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLWW
Robin Bertrand 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Finn Murgett 1570 · Robin Bertrand 1579
Finn MurgettRobin Bertrand
Our model49%51%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Finn MurgettRobin Bertrand
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.5-0.6
Games (G-P)12-7.811.1-9
Aces12.7
Double faults3.62.3
1st serve %69.4%69.2%
Break %40.4%61.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Finn Murgett

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Gian Luca Tanner
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-3 W
14/09 Valentin Vanta
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Ryan Colby
M25 Sintra
2-0 13-7 W
09/09 Diogo Marques
M25 Sintra
2-1 18-9 W
30/08 Baltazar Wiger Nordas
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/08 Rupert George
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
28/08 Sil Hollemans
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
27/08 Aaron Hilsum
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Luca Bluett
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Robin Bertrand

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-8 W
11/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
10/09 Raphael Perot
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
08/09 Mathieu Scaglia
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-2 11-16 L
05/09 John Echeverria
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-8 W
04/09 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-7 W
03/09 Kenny de Schepper
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-10 W
02/09 Luc Fomba
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-8 W
28/08 Mathys Domenc
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Finn Murgett vs Robin Bertrand?

Our model gives 60% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.