Tennis · M25 Sintra · 08/09, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Adrien Burdet
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Adrien Burdet
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Adrien Burdet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
4-6 (W-L)
Adrien Burdet
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1527 · Adrien Burdet 1525
| Tiago Cacao | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adrien Burdet makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.1 | 9.8-10 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Rodrigo Ferro Duarte Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Rocha M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Adrien Burdet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Mateo Fluri M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Laurin Aerne M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Andrej Martin M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Adrien Burdet?
Our model gives 69% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.