Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 06/09, 18:30

Prediction: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Felix Balshaw

Team pages: Inaki Montes-De La Torre · Felix Balshaw

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Inaki Montes-De La Torre Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Inaki Montes-De La Torre 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLWLWWL
Felix Balshaw 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1575 · Felix Balshaw 1560
Inaki Montes-De La TorreFelix Balshaw
Our model52%48%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Felix Balshaw dominates on serve: 7 aces and 42.3% break avg.
  • Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Inaki Montes-De La TorreFelix Balshaw
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 88% (8) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.4-1
Games (G-P)11.7-10.913.3-12.8
Aces2.67
Double faults54.5
1st serve %61.4%72.1%
Break %42.4%42.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inaki Montes-De La Torre

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Luca Potenza
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
03/09 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
27/08 George Loffhagen
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Jay Friend
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/08 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
24/08 Oskari Paldanius
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
23/08 Matt Ponchet
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
27/07 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/07 Hynek Barton
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Felix Balshaw

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
04/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 17-17 W
03/09 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
01/09 August Holmgren
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
25/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
23/08 Sebastian Gorzny
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/08 Luca Pow
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/08 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
13/07 Stefano Napolitano
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 8-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Felix Balshaw?

Our model gives 56% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.