Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
5-5 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1495 · Mark Lajal 1548
| Ivan Ivanov | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mark Lajal (rating 1495 vs 1548).
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 44.7% break avg.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.9 | 12.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Gustav Theilgaard M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 69% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.