Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 05/09, 15:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: Mark Lajal · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1564 · Felix Balshaw 1530
| Mark Lajal | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.5% break avg.
- Felix Balshaw dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.2 | 12.9-13 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 59% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

