Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Felix Balshaw

Team pages: Mark Lajal · Felix Balshaw

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Mark Lajal Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal 6-4 (W-L)
LLLLWWWWWW
Felix Balshaw 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1564 · Felix Balshaw 1530
Mark LajalFelix Balshaw
Our model55%45%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.5% break avg.
  • Felix Balshaw dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42.1% break avg.
  • Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Mark LajalFelix Balshaw
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.2-1.2
Games (G-P)12.7-10.212.9-13
Aces7.16.8
Double faults4.94.2
1st serve %74.8%72.4%
Break %44.5%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mark Lajal

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/09 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
02/09 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
31/08 Motoharu Abe
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/08 Jordan Lee
US Open · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
14/08 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
13/08 Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
13/08 Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
02/08 Jeffrey John Wolf
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Felix Balshaw

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 17-17 W
03/09 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
01/09 August Holmgren
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
25/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
23/08 Sebastian Gorzny
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/08 Luca Pow
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/08 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
13/07 Stefano Napolitano
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 8-16 L
10/07 Florian Broska
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Felix Balshaw?

Our model gives 59% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.