Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 05/09, 16:45
Prediction: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Luca Potenza · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Potenza
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Potenza
7-3 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Potenza 1565 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1554
| Luca Potenza | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Luca Potenza | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.9 | 10.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 62% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.