Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 04/09, 16:45
Prediction: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Alejo Sanchez Quilez · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
8-2 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1564 · Mark Lajal 1558
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.5 | 12.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 77% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Mark Lajal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 60% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.