Tennis · M15 Madrid · 06/09, 10:30
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Martin Van Der Meerschen
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
5-5 (W-L)
Martin Van Der Meerschen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1515 · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1584
| Ryan Nijboer | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Van Der Meerschen (rating 1515 vs 1584).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.9 | 11.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Michiel de Krom M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Rafael De Alba M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Theodore Dean M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Romain Faucon M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Rafael Giotis M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesse De Jager M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Louis-Lou Langenaken M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Michael Geerts M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Martin Van Der Meerschen?
Our model gives 55% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.