Tennis · M15 Madrid · 04/09, 10:30
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Bernardo Munk Mesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
4-6 (W-L)
Bernardo Munk Mesa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1511 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1487
| Ryan Nijboer | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.8 | 10.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?
Our model gives 65% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.