Tennis · M15 Madrid · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Rafael De Alba vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
Team pages: Rafael De Alba · Martin Van Der Meerschen
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael De Alba
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael De Alba
2-8 (W-L)
Martin Van Der Meerschen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael De Alba 1460 · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1579
| Rafael De Alba | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Van Der Meerschen (rating 1460 vs 1579).
- Martin Van Der Meerschen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rafael De Alba | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.2 | 11.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael De Alba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nav Dayal M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Haydar Cem Gokpinar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Theodore Dean M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Romain Faucon M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Rafael Giotis M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesse De Jager M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Louis-Lou Langenaken M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Michael Geerts M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/08 | Abel Forger M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Arthur Nagel M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Mac Visser M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael De Alba vs Martin Van Der Meerschen?
Our model gives 78% to Martin Van Der Meerschen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.