Tennis · M15 Madrid · 04/09, 10:30
Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
Team pages: Michiel de Krom · Martin Van Der Meerschen
Prediction summary
Winner
Michiel de Krom
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michiel de Krom
7-3 (W-L)
Martin Van Der Meerschen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1504 · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1580
| Michiel de Krom | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Van Der Meerschen (rating 1504 vs 1580).
- Martin Van Der Meerschen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michiel de Krom | Martin Van Der Meerschen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 11.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michiel de Krom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Luke Bollinger M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Elijah Sanogo M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Denia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Niklas Schell Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Rafael De Alba M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Theodore Dean M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Romain Faucon M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Rafael Giotis M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesse De Jager M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Louis-Lou Langenaken M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Michael Geerts M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/08 | Abel Forger M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Arthur Nagel M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Martin Van Der Meerschen?
Our model gives 57% to Martin Van Der Meerschen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.