Tennis · M15 Madrid · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
Team pages: Juan Ignacio Gallego · Bernardo Munk Mesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Ignacio Gallego
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Ignacio Gallego
4-6 (W-L)
Bernardo Munk Mesa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1501 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1480
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Juan Ignacio Gallego | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11 | 9.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Ignacio Gallego
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Pablo Aunion M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Corentin Denolly M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Bien M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nocolas A Jara Lozano UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Andres Medus UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Bernardo Munk Mesa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Michiel de Krom M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?
Our model gives 62% to Bernardo Munk Mesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.