Tennis · M15 Madrid · 04/09, 10:30
Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Pedro Rodenas
Team pages: Alejandro Garcia · Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Garcia
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Garcia
2–1
Pedro Rodenas
(3 last)
- 26 Aug0-2 11-14L
- 03 Jul2-1 17-14W
- 03 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1558 · Pedro Rodenas 1565
| Alejandro Garcia | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Garcia 2–1 Pedro Rodenas (3).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Garcia | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.3 | 13.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Alejandro Garcia 2 – 1 Pedro Rodenas (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Garcia 2–1 Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/26 M25 Oviedo | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07/26 M15 Getxo | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/08/21 M15 Xativa | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Xavi Palomar M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Marc Ros Mesas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Nikola Djukic Valera M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 64% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.