Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/09, 10:00
Prediction: Valerio Aboian vs Federico Iannaccone
Team pages: Valerio Aboian · Federico Iannaccone
Prediction summary
Winner
Valerio Aboian
Federico Iannaccone
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valerio Aboian
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Iannaccone
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerio Aboian 1494 · Federico Iannaccone 1537
| Valerio Aboian | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Iannaccone (rating 1494 vs 1537).
Statistics
| Valerio Aboian | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.3 | 11.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Karlo Kajin M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Yannic Nittmann Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Federico Iannaccone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Peter Fajta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Caheer Warik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerio Aboian vs Federico Iannaccone?
Our model gives 54% to Federico Iannaccone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.