Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/09, 10:00
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Georgii Kravchenko
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Georgii Kravchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Georgii Kravchenko
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Georgii Kravchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
0–1
Georgii Kravchenko
(1 last)
- 18 Dec0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1584 · Georgii Kravchenko 1506
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1584 vs 1506).
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Oleksandr Ovcharenko 0–1 Georgii Kravchenko (1).
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.2 | 12.2-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 0 – 1 Georgii Kravchenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 0–1 Georgii Kravchenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/20 M15 Antalya | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Petros Tsitsipas Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Georgii Kravchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 23/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Jakub Nicod Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Georgii Kravchenko?
Our model gives 63% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.